BCR's Daily Fishwrap Report for December 8, 2008
BCR's Daily Fishwrap Report for December 9, 2008

DATA considers near-term transit improvements, fare-free service

Plans for a broader Triangle-wide rail transit system sit on pause -- though one must expect that Triangle Transit and the members of the recently-completed STAC commission effort examining transit must be waiting with bated breath for the Obama administration's expansion in public infrastructure.

Yet as the STAC commission pointed out, expanded bus service and increased bus ridership is part of providing the "last mile" connectivity between high-capacity transit corridors -- be it light rail, the NCDOT commuter rail idea, or both -- and day-to-day destinations.

In that spirit, it's good to see DATA presenting its recommendations for transit service improvements, encapsulated in its proposed short-range plan.

The plan is a revision of a 2003 proposal from outside consultants on bus service expansion -- a proposal that, the latest document notes, comes about since "[u]nfortunately, many of those [2003] recommendations were not implemented."

That's putting it kindly. Then-city manager Marcia Conner's proposal to raise fares while slashing service -- including the elimination of Sunday and holiday service and several routes -- drew hundreds of protestors to City Hall and required Bill Bell to have police escort to get through a crowd. The fare increase continued, though extra Federal funding from the FTA based on Durham's increased population in the 2000 Census came just in the knick of time to short-circuit such a discussion.

Bus funding from the general property tax fund declined in Durham, from 3-4 cents of the property tax rate in the late 1990s to an anemic 1.8 cents by 2003, according to an N&O report from the time.

Similarly, proposals to increase the local vehicle registration fee in Durham County to $15 or more, with earmarks for transit service subsidies, have been opposed by Rep. Paul Luebke and others in the local delegration on grounds that it would be a regressive tax, even as Orange County and other areas have seen such increases pushed through with their legislators' help. (Luebke eventually blessed a 2003 increase from $5 to $10 in Durham's registraton fees.)

It's in that fiscally-tight environment that transit service increases come up for discussion again, this time amidst tough macroeconomic condition that both show the resounding need for better transit service and will likely raise new questions about just how to fund them.

The expansions proposed would bring the DATA system up from a 73-bus fleet in the 2010 fiscal year to 89 buses two years later, all the way up to 129 vehicles by 2015. The DATA web site lists the current fleet size at 50 buses. Included in the plan is the maintenance of a 20% "spare ratio" of extra buses -- a ratio DATA hasn't been able to hit with its current fleet of turbocharger-challenged buses, plagued by repair difficulties and leaving DATA to borrow extra buses from Chapel Hill's transit system at times.

City staff are also proposing heavily NCDOT-subsidized purchases of runcutting software to increase the efficiency of schedules and driver assignments, and the implementation of real-time bus arrival systems and software to provide better intelligence on bus service.

Fare-Free Service Proposed

Intriguingly, one of the most important aspects in the DATA short-range plan this time around is the proposal (yet again) to provide free bus service in Durham, eliminating the farebox entirely in the 2012 fiscal year, which begins in summer 2011.

While it might sound counter-intuitive to eliminate fares for a service that has struggled economically, residents in Chapel Hill and Carrboro have benefitted from the change in their jurisdiction, according to a 2003 N&O report, though it's worth noting that those towns had the support of the local university to merge systems (something Duke has reportedly not supported) and provide much higher property tax support for their systems:

Chapel Hill Transit, subsidized by the towns of Chapel Hill, Carrboro and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, had a 43 percent increase in ridership after rolling out its free ride program last year -- double what was expected. The more the towns can improve ridership, the more federal transportation dollars they receive, said [Chapel Hill town council member Dorothy] Verkerk. Eventually, that money is plowed back into service upgrades, supporting long-term strategies of unclogging roadways and reducing smog. 

"It's really quite ... an upward spiral," Verkerk said.


Durham's fare-free proposal carries a "fully allocated cost" pricetag in the short-range plan of $3.5 million, but is estimated to increase ridership by 20%, making the City eligible for additional Federal funding. No estimate of the expected fiscal benefit is provided in the plan.

New Routes

A number of new bus routes are proposed under the plan. In the 2010 fiscal year, DATA would add a number of new services, including:

  • The downtown circulator, discussed here last week;
  • An alternative Route 1 providing service from downtown up Buchanan Blvd. and Guess/Carver/Hillandale to Riverside High;
  • A new route connecting Duke University with Southpoint Mall via Anderson, Chapel Hill St., and Hope Valley Rd.;
  • A new route connecting the downtown transit station to the new Glenn View Station shopping center up Geer in north-east Durham, site of a Wal-Mart Supercenter under construction;

New routes in future fiscal years would include:

  • A route 10A change/expansion to the existing Woodcroft service;
  • Service directly connecting Duke Medical Center and Durham Regional Hospital;
  • Revised routes betwen the downtown transit station and Southpoint, and for the Route 7 bus to MLK Jr. Pkwy.;
  • An NC 54 bus connector route, cross-town from the new Triangle Transit transfer station to New Hope Commons;
  • New routes down NC 147 in the 2013 fiscal year, from the downtown transit station to RDU airport and to RTP's EPA campus and Hopson Rd./Davis Dr. area;
  • Service between Treyburn and downtown, including a park-and-ride lot in the Treyburn area;
  • Direct connections between Duke-South Square and Durham Regional-Brier Creek;
  • New service from downtown down the Hwy. 98 corridor, further towards Sherron Rd.

Increasing Route Headways

Another highlight of the plan is the proposal to increase route headways -- the time between buses -- on popular existing routes. For the 2011 fiscal year, routes 1 (downtown to Northgate/North Pointe), 3 (Holloway St.), 8 (McDougald/Durham Tech) would go to 15 minute departures, with routes 12 (Hwy 55/54) and 16 (Southern High/The Village) reaching 30 minute peak departures. Off-peak departures would move to 30 and 60 minutes respectively.

Ultimately, most (but not all) routes would move to 15 minute peak headways by the 2015 fiscal year.

Route headway improvements have been seen as a major factor in improiving transit use and interest; the current 30 minute headways make it more difficult to attract so-called "riders of choice" who would abandon cars to use public transit, since if you miss a bus, you're waiting half an hour for the next one.

Commenting on the Plan

Interested in commenting on the plan? There's not a lot of time. Comments are most timely submitted by mid-December for the revision of the plan in advance of its consideration at January's DATA board meeting.

The plan didn't appear on the DATA web site until last Wednesday, Dec. 3 in mid-morning -- the very day of the open house to review the plan, an event that was announced only on Tuesday, Dec. 2 in a City press release. (According to a spokesperson for DATA, regular bus riders were alerted in advance of the release about the discussions.)

Similarly, the plan's posted as a PDF on the DATA site, though a comment form to provide feedback is not available as of this writing. At this time, your best bet is to directly email the responsible transportation planner.

(Do us here at BCR a favor -- if you send comments to DATA about the short-range plan, post 'em here on the comments section as well.)

Comments

Rob

15 minute headways and fare-free service will be vital for increasing bus usage. Transit services are never really supported by fares anyway; they typically get only 15-25% of their revenue through fares (ex. CAT gets 22.7% of its funding through fares, I can't find Durham's info). There is an old story about Boston MBTA in the 70's being so concerned about charging a fare on their subway that they actually lost money--they had to pay union employees to stand at entrances and collect 5-cent tokens, for a total revenue that was less than wage costs (this problem was fixed with machines to collect tokens).

Everyone will benefit from increased bus ridership. The roads will be less congested, pollution will decrease, and maybe folks will be a little bit friendlier to one another after a bit of chit-chat at the bus stops. Transit is a public good, we should all pay a chunk of it through vehicle registration and gas taxes.

barry

Getting headway times down to 10 minutes during peak and 20 minutes during off-peak, providing more benches and shelters at bus stops, improving pedestrian access to and from bus stops, and having more bus routes that go from Point A to Point B without requiring a transfer downtown (which, if i read Kevin's post correctly seems to be happening) should come before eliminating fares.

As long as enough people at DATA continue to believe that their primary mission is to serve people who have no choice but to ride the bus, they will continue to provide service that only those who have no choice will use.

Ray Gronberg

Kevin, your short digression into the history of Chapel Hill Transit was partly wide of the mark.

It's inaccurate to say that UNC put pressure on the towns to merge bus systems. Prior to the early 1970s there was no bus service in southern Orange County. At that point, Chapel Hill, Carrboro and the university got together and created one. A lot of political bloodshed accompanied the move (which Howard Lee would be glad to tell you about sometime if you have a couple hours) but the bottom line is there were no separate systems to merge.

(This is why, by the way, CHT's employees work for the town. Because there was no service prior to CHT's creation, there was no chance for Chapel Hill's bus drivers to unionize. Hence, CHT doesn't have DATA's need to bring in a third-party operator to deal with the employees.)

As for fare-free, the ridership increase is real but offers a whole lot more in the way of analytical complexity than the N&O story you quote makes out. First, simultaneous with the launch of fare-free, CHT also layered on a bunch of extra UNC-funded express service to the outlying park-and-ride lots. The people using those routes accounted for part of the ridership increase. Also, an unknown fraction of "new" riders were people who before the advent of fare-free were walking or riding bikes. Bottom line, only part of the immediate ridership increase was attributable to fare-free. The town's never really tried to tease out which part because DOT and the feds for purposes of capital funding don't really care -- all they look at is the bottom-line number.

The move to fare-free was politically controversial. Significant numbers of both the Chapel Hill council and the Carrboro aldermen opposed it and succeeded in delaying it for a year or two. The Chapel Hill opponents preferred offering fare-free to students only. The aldermen opposed were truly opposed to any elimination of fares and instead wanted to plow money into reducing headway. But all the arguing went away after the student president at UNC at the time (Brad Mathews) called for an on-campus referendum on a student fee increase to help pay for fare-free. He conditioned the money on fare-free service being universal and the measure passed with something like 80 percent of the vote. That added $500K a year to the pro-forma and soon after, opposition among Chapel Hill's elected dissolved. Carrboro was a little more resistant but, being the junior partner in the system financially, was not in a position to make its views stick.

Barry, CHT has several times experimented with cross-town routes bypassing its main hub. Each time, no one rode them and they quickly failed.

Finally, it was a little annoying to see Kevin quote an N&O article on this issue. The H-S (meaning in this case me) published 15 articles on the issue to every one the N&O put out. We covered it extensively, the N&O parachuted in after the fact.

barry

Ray - Assuming you meant DATA, and not CHT, when was that? I suspect that a well designed grid system, with good transfer points in strategic locations, could do very well in Durham now and going forward. I don't know for sure that i'd ride a bus from my house to Southpoint on the weekend, for example, but i'd certainly consider it if i didn't have to wait half an hour at the downtown depot for a connection.

GreenLantern

The fares should be free.

Getting the increased Federal funds that are based on ridership numbers is far more attractive than trying in vain to match fares with profitability. There's also the added environmental and social benefit of having fewer cars on the roads, and increasing the trips customers of local business make.

Paul Leubke and others still need to learn the difference between regressive tax and a progressive tax. Yes, in the strictest terms, raising the vehicle tax will hurt the poor more since it taxes a greater percentage of household income. HOWEVER, if we assume the vast majority of daily mass transit riders utilize "free" transit opportunities as a form of IMPUTED income, then the increased vehicle tax is only a slight burden to the transportation budget of lower income households.

Michael Bacon

Ray: Smack upside the head whoever decided to wall off all old articles on the H-S website, and the blogs will start quoting you a lot more. I can get to Lexis-Nexus occasionally, but I imagine Kevin can't, and even when I can, it's not like I want to take a few hours to go hunt through the archives just for a few quotes for the blog.

Barry: The problem isn't the downtown transfer, it's the half-hour wait. Decreasing head times would help a lot.

I have a lot more to say about this, but it's going to have to wait. I'll simply say that Luebke's infuriating stance on funding for public transportation is the blackest mark on his otherwise progressive record. It makes me want to smack him.

Ray Gronberg

Barry, I meant CHT, not DATA. To my knowledge DATA hasn't tried a non-hub connector while I've been covering it (2005-present). CHT tried a couple times in my tenure on the Chapel Hill beat (1996-2003) without success. If memory serves, the last time while I was there that they tried, the route drew fewer than a dozen riders, total, per day.

For what it's worth, most transit systems in essence are hub-and-spoke. Both NYC and Tokyo, for instance, fit that pattern. What makes them work is, first, route density. There have a bunch of different lines and many either parallel or cross each other in places away from the hub, which eases cross-town travel. Second, both really have multiple hubs in the core area to reduce station congestion down to what by local standards passes as a dull roar. E.g., NYC has Grand Central, Times Square, etc. Tokyo has Shinjuku and Tokyo stations as major transfer points. The thing Tokyo has that NYC doesn't (and for that matter that many transit system lack) is a big ring route, the Yamanote line, that works like a subway version of the 440 Beltline. That's the closest I can think of to a "cross-town" line that works, and I don't think it's exactly what you mean when you say DATA needs one.

Todd

I agree that fares should be free on DATA. It would be interesting to see a comparison of how much DATA spends collecting and accounting for fares vs how much is actually collected. Those back-office accounting operations are not free.

Reducing headways is also key to picking up convenience ridership, rather than just those who have no other alternative.

DATA also needs to make a major investment in facilities for riders, a.k.a. bus stops that are more than just a sign on a post. In other cities, billboard companies install lighted & covered bus shelters for free (and maintain them free) in return for being allowed to sell ad space on the shelters. I would not normally trust the billboard bigwigs over anything, but Durham is in such dire straights when it comes to this particualr public facility, a deal with the devil should certainly be considered.

Of course, all of this would be easier if the Durham City Council had not wasted away the bucket of capital dollars that came along with DATA when the city took over service (from Duke Power?). This capital money was spent on ongoing operations because the Council was too chicken to save the money (for it's intended purpose) and raise property taxes instead. The long-term members of the Council have no one to blame but themselves for mishandling that pot of money, leaving DATA in the poor financial condition that it is in now.

Katja Hill

Depending on DATA buses is a real hardship, one that lots of solid working folk do without complaint every day. There are rarely shelters or even sidewalks for you as you wait along your route for a bus, which is often late for whatever reason; and whatever efforts you make to look presentable for your job upon arrival after taking a bus are often ruined by standing in a muddy puddle as you wait to take a late bus to get there. Sidewalks, apparently, are a privilege.

Too often, I have arrived at the downtown bus junction to see taxis swarming Morgan Street, knowing full-well that the connecting buses are going to be late. These taxis make good money off the fact that, for example, nurses aides at Duke Hospital can't afford to be late for third shift, and those workers will take a cab they probably can't afford to ensure they'll be on time to serve patients and keep a job.

If we really want equality in Durham, then we need to improve the buses. Seriously. If you don't think people are being kept down, if you think racism is old school or 'just an excuse", then try to honor an appointment by taking a bus where ever you are going. You will be schooled in reality -- and, probably, you'll be a bit late.

Barry

Ray - i've never been to Tokyo, but i grew up in NYC and believe me, you can get to a hell of a lot of places without passing through Grand Central or Times Square, let alone transferring there, even thought the geography of Manhattan lends itself overwhelmingly to north-south routes. And that's just the subways. The buses are a completely different story.

Yeah, density is a major factor. But at least from what i'm reading these days, the current theory is that density follows transit. If you build it they will come, and all that.

Michael - if all the buses didn't go to the same place at the same time, wouldn't that make it easier to do away with those half hour waits for a transfer?

Katja - whenever i talk to someone who's waiting for the bus at the Avondale/Shawnee cul-de-sac, they're more than willing to air their complaints. I agree, though, that improving the buses (including shelters, sidewalks at all bus stops at a minimum, and more frequent buses [i really don't like that term "headway"]) should be job one. Lowering fares can come after that. Perhaps by giving tax credits to employers who offer discounted or free monthly passes to their lower paid workers.

Barry

OK, maybe i misread Ray's remarks above. We're probably reading the NYC map more similarly than not.

Crosstown routes? Can you get from Golden Belt to Kroger on Hillsborough Rd. without a transfer? East Club Blvd. to the Club Blvd. Hillsborough Rd. almost intersection? Across town on Carver St?

I don't know south Durham well enough, but there are probably some equivalents there.

Kevin Davis

@Ray: No disrespect intended to you or the H-S. The N&O article came up in a first (constrained) search I'd run before a larger search returned dozens of articles; I'd already used the N&O pull quote but there was excellent background in the H-S coverage.

I wasn't implying that UNC "pushed" the merger, merely that there was some level of campus support for it, a point I don't really know whether we're at with Durham's institutions.

The question of fare-free service vs. using fares to pay for expanded service is an excellent one. There is some merit to the argument that transit opponents would seethe and wouldn't support increased taxpayer funding for a free service. OTOH, we've had significant fare increases in the past decade without a lot of service expansion, either.

To me, the most important time for fare-free service is when/if light rail or commuter rail service happen and we need effective, frequent bus service to connect rail stations to places of employment and homes. Then, you've got a real chance of getting riders out of cars and of changing development patterns.

OTOH, I think there's something to be said for the progressivity of making bus service free. And I'd echo Katja's comments about the state of bus shelters, something Barry has shown time and again over at his blog.

keith

OK, picky point. But, it brings up the interminable issue of just how many streets named chapel hill we need. Surely, the reference below should be to chapel hill road.

"A new route connecting Duke University with Southpoint Mall via Anderson, Chapel Hill St., and Hope Valley Rd.;"

Rob

Keith- I thought the same thing when I saw it. I rolled my eyes, because I live a few blocks from the Chapel Hill/Chapel Hill intersection. Just imagine the added confusion when people call 15-501 "Chapel Hill Blvd."

I also agree that we need better bus shelters and rider amenities. There are bus shelters (example Morehead and Kent) that aren't even connected by sidewalks. How is someone with limited mobility going to be served by that? How is our bus service going to help an elderly person go see their physician?

There was an article today on Durham Station in the N&O. It mentioned the major problem with the current station--that buses don't have separate berths. They are locked in their until every bus ahead of them leaves. Maybe the new station will help buses that arrive 5 minutes late to the station make up time, instead of adding to their delay.

One last point regarding fare-free. If we aren't going to go fare free, then we need to lower the fare. $1 each way is ridiculous, especially for someone trying to get to their part-time, minimum wage jobs (a lot of people in Durham are under-employed, and not by choice!). Also, don't tell me about monthly passes being cheaper or subsidized passes being available. Unless you've scraped by paycheck-to-paycheck or have tried to navigate the government from a position of nearly no political capital, then don't tell me I'm blowing things out of proportion on the $1 fare thing. If we can't do fare free, then at least go back to 50 cents a trip.

RS

Fares being free isn't important to me. A reliable and efficent system IS important: meaning no 30 minute wait times and no unnecessary transfers.

You'll pay for good service..and for those who can't afford it then they should get subsidized free passes like in most other places.

Rob

When it comes down to it, fares don't actually pay for transit. I did some digging in the budget, and it looks like charges for service (fare box and paratransit access fees) accounted for $2.62million out of a $12.98 million budget (20.1% of DATA's budget was paid for by fares). This means that fares aren't going to provide for more service, they aren't going to provide for shorter headways, and they aren't going to provide more rider amenities. To think that we need to keep the fare where it is in order to throw up some more bus shelters and double the number of buses on routes is ridiculous. We'd have to raise the fare to $5 per trip (at a sustained level of ridership) to make DATA self-supporting. And at $5 a trip, no one would use DATA, no matter how nice the bus stops were. Yes, shorter headways will increase ridership, but we don't have room on our buses to add 5x the number of passengers. They are already half full during daytime hours, so at most we can only hope to raise that to 40% by filling every single bus up at $1/person.

Instead, we need to think about other ways to fund transit. Transit is not supposed to be self-supporting. It is a public good. It is provided to decrease pollution, reduce the congestion on our roads, and ensure that everyone has access to reliable transportation. Now, we don't need another bond referendum, because I'm sick of bonds paying for stuff. We need to increase the city/county revenue. I say increase registration fees. Maybe increase the gasoline tax. Or even move to a per-mile tax that can be levied each year based upon odometer readings at the emissions/safety inspection. This will give NC more money for roads and mass transit.

In short, though, my point is that there is no correlation between fare cost and money for amenities. There can't be, because we only get 20% of our transit money through fares. Keeping the fare where it is won't provide for rider amenities or shorter headways, so these things need to be addressed independently.

Ray Gronberg

Barry, my point about the NYC system was that all the routes pass through a relatively small piece of Manhattan -- hence that the system is, in effect, hub-and-spoke. When I think of cross-town connectors I think of routes that bypass the hub. I don't see a lot of ways in NYC to get from the Bronx to Brooklyn without passing through the heart of Manhattan, even though there must be a few people who'd need to go from the Bronx to Brooklyn.

The Golden Belt-to-Kroger example you mention is similar. The straight-line path between the two pretty much runs through the hub, so what conceivable route system would bypass it?

Some of your frustration I suspect comes from living near the hub. Out here in the sticks it's at least theoretically a bit more possible to get from point A to point B without visiting the hub. E.g., I could, again in theory, get from home to the H-S by taking DATA's #7 and then transferring to the #5 at Cornwallis and Roxboro. How doable that is in real life, I'm not sure. Gas prices didn't quite get high enough for me to need to find out.

Again, the key is how often and where routes cross each other. If they cross a lot, one need never visit the hub. If they don't cross at all, then one can't avoid the hub. In other words, you need junctions.

Tar Heelz

What portion of the cost of traveling via the highways is paid by the users of the highways (as compared with non-users)?

For a starting point, that should be the targeted portion that we apply to transit fares.

As absurd as it is to expect transit riders to pick up the full freight of the transit system, it is equally troubling for us to be accepting fares that are unreasonably low.

barry

Ray - Junctions, yes. But not a hub that forces every single bus to stop there and make a transfer. Brightleaf would be a natural transfer station for a couple of routes, for example, as would the Durham public library area and even the Compare Foods down on University. But they don't need to be hubs. Durham is not a completely gridded system (see Michael Bacon's excellent piece earlier this year about the overlapping grids that form our basic infrastructure), but it's got enough of a grid that transfers could be distributed throughout more locations, rather than having them all (or mostly all) done at one place.

As far as the Bronx to Brooklyn, for example, yeah, you pretty much have to go through Manhattan. but you don't necessarily have to change at Times Square, along with every one else in the city going to whatever destination, to do it. Looking at a subway map, i think you could also take the Metro North (commuter line, not a subway line) to Hunters Point Ave. in Brooklyn, and from there walk a block or two to G train. Probably wouldn't be as fast as taking the D train, though.

Erik

Man, I hate that I missed most of this discussion (thank you Time Warner Cable), but I'm going to share my two cents anyways:

First, when I was a transportation planning intern for Chapel Hill a couple of years ago that someone had done a paper on the effects of going fare-free. If I recall, the paper needed to be beefed up a bit, but I'm checking with the current interns to see if anything has happened with that.

Secondly, I don't think comparing Chapel Hill (or NYC or Tokyo?) to Durham in terms of cross-town routes is appropriate. Chapel Hill has essentially one major destination: UNC. So while there may be a few folks along Estes Drive who want to go directly to Timberlyne or University Mall, those numbers are too small to support such a route.

In Durham, the DATA routes don't even go directly to the largest employment center (that would be Duke) unless you happen to live along Route 11 or Route 6! That's an enormous difference from the Chapel Hill example. Direct services from places like the Southpoint area or North Durham directly to Duke University would actually serve a larger travel market than the majority of the current services to
downtown.

In addition, shopping centers such as Southpoint and the New Hope Commons/South Square area serve (and employ) far more people than any such area in Chapel Hill. A better comparison would be Raleigh which does have several cross-town routes. Some carry more riders than others, but these routes are still a valuable part of their service. Even in Raleigh's case, it's still not quite comparable because downtown Raleigh is the biggest employment location, not NC State.

Finally, maybe this is obvious to everyone, maybe it's not. Fares don't account for a huge portion of the revenue transit agencies collect - that's true. But that $2.6M would have to be somehow replaced if the system went fare free. And it doesn't stop there. If DATA goes fare free, more people will ride, meaning there will be an even larger imperative to add service. OK, say that additional service cost $1.4M a year just to keep pace with the increased demand. Now we're talking about $4M in initial investments just to make DATA fare free.

So...would you rather make DATA fare free or would you rather add $4M of service to the streets? That could be 12-15 new commuter hour express routes. Or 5 new commuter routes, an increase in frequency to 15 minutes on 3-4 of the most popular routes in the system, and 25 new shelters at the most-used bus stops in Durham.

Just want to make sure everyone understands what they would be choosing between when you talk about fare-free.

GreenLantern

Erik: You make a good point, but you assume the issue of fare/no fare is adding service rather than filling up the buses already in the system. We don't need more buses until we get the ones we have up to capacity. So I'd rather go fare free and get whatever federal funds (based on ridership rates, not number of routes) to pay for any new buses and routes. Just because there's demand for service on some of the outlying routes doesn't mean we should provide it if the number of riders isn't proven to exist.

This "build it and they will come" mentality needs to stop. We don't need to add $4MM amount of new service to the streets until there's $4MM amount of demand. Those who don't ride DATA see mostly empty buses right now. Fare free in Chapel Hill has proven to increase ridership rates, and gradually, new routes and buses are added, and the capital costs spread out over time.

I understand the social and environmental benefits of mass transit, but before we ask for higher taxes to put more buses on the streets, let's fill up the ones we've got first.

Erik

GreenLantern,

I couldn't disagree more. First, I'll disagree with myself - the more I think about it, the less I think there would actually be any increased demand due to going fare free. After all, over 90% of all trips on DATA are already made by "captive" riders meaning that those who would use the current DATA routes are already using DATA routes. So who will take the bus more when it goes fare-free? Choice riders? That $1 fare was really the problem? So how would this "fill up the buses"? As an aside, as an actual DATA rider, I can tell you that my route (Route 1) is consistently full and I know that is true of a lot of routes, so I hardly think that's the biggest issue here. As Kevin has often brought up on this blog, Durham serves more riders with fewer buses than any system in the Triangle, including Chapel Hill.

The "federal funds" issue is a non-issue. Section 5307 funds make up a small portion of the pot of money transit agencies have to use and if you think spending $2.6M to make the system fare free will generate more ridership than adding $2.6M of new service, well, that's your opinion, but I think it's way off base.

Finally, I said it before and I'll say it again. Comparing Chapel Hill to Durham is a HUGE mistake. First, Chapel Hill added a LOT of service at the same time that they made it fare free, so the capital and operating costs were all initial costs - this notion that routes were added "gradually" is simply false. And the notion that it was the federal funds (which don't accrue until 2 years after it is reported) that added the service is also false.

There are two major differences between Chapel Hill and Durham in terms of transit:

1. UNC and Chapel Hill have made parking scarce and costly. They turned "choice" riders into "captive" riders. Until Duke and Durham do the same, choice riders will not use the system at the same level.

2. Chapel Hill Transit SERVES THE MAJOR DESTINATION IN CHAPEL HILL. I wish I could put that in some huge font. Putting aside any personal distaste for Duke and love of downtown Durham, the fact is that Duke University and its hospitals is a much larger destination than downtown and until routes are added that provide more direct service between where the majority of people live in Durham and where the majority of people work in Durham, DATA will be a system for its current riders, not a system for all of Durham.

I will argue this until I'm blue in the face - the main reason choice riders will not ride DATA is not because of a lack of shelters (more would be nice, but it's not the main reason), it's not because of the frequency (Triangle Transit has express routes running every 30 minutes that are full every day), it's not because of the safety perception (this is no doubt a reason, but it can be overcome), and it's DEFINITELY not because of the price.

The reason choice riders don't ride DATA is because the current routes take too long to go from where people live to where they want to go. It's that simple. If there was a route between the Southpoint area and Duke University that was direct, mostly express, and ran more frequently during peak commute times than at other times, that route would be successful. Have Duke pay for half of the operating cost instead of leasing or building more surface parking lots and for $200K a year or less, the City of Durham would have just added a service that everyone could use for 1/13 of what it would cost the city to make DATA fare free.

GreenLantern

Erik: I like the idea in your last sentence about Duke picking up half the cost of buses serving the campus to Southpoint, etc.

Beyond those buses that directly serve the university and hospital, which is relatively close to the new downtown terminal, and the fact that Durham is not Chapel Hill, you make a perfect argument NOT to add more bus service. As you say, beyond serving Duke, new buses won't help those of us who need to go and work elsewhere. Therefore, no new buses are needed. I'm not going to waste time switching buses in a hub and spoke system when it only takes me 10 minutes to drive to RTP from East Durham.

So the idea behind fare-free is to pack all the buses we already have, and IF we gain more federal funds as a result of increased ridership, THEN add one or two routes as needed. I'm not going to choose to ride a bus based on a free fare or a $1 fare because it's still too slow, and I don't support buying new buses for suburban routes because I know my neighbors won't ride them at capacity. There's no need to lurch forward spending millions adding routes that aren't going to be fully utilized in the hope that we will become like Chapel Hill.

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