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December 31, 2008

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KeepDurhamDifferent!

Since this is the time of year for predictions, I'll stick my neck out and say that 12% is as dead as the dodo. Look at the spread of corporate bond rates over T-bills. Then look at the muni/fed spread 00 the inference should be obvious.

With taxes going up soon (thanks, Obama!), muni bonds are getting better all the time. As to whether this means we will lose AAA, I'm not saying (and it would be inappropriate for me to comment since I work for an investment bank).

I love Farad Ali for fighting the good fight, but I predict he will lose on this one.

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